The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate at today's meeting, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4.00%. This anticipated cut follows a similar reduction in September and aims to address concerns over a cooling labor market and persistent inflation.
The decision comes amid challenges posed by a prolonged federal government shutdown, which has delayed the release of key economic indicators, including employment reports. Despite this data gap, the Fed is proceeding with the rate cut to support economic growth and employment.
Market participants have largely priced in this rate cut, with a 99% probability reflected in trading activities. Investors are also anticipating further easing in December and into 2026.
In related developments, President Donald Trump has criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for delaying interest rate cuts, expressing frustration over the Fed's cautious approach amid long-term inflation concerns.
The 30-year fixed-rate U.S. mortgage has decreased to 6.30%, the lowest level in 13 months, following a lower-than-expected inflation report and reinforcing expectations of another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Recent data shows US consumer confidence has slipped to a six-month low, with growing worries over job availability persisting among American households. This trend supports the Fed's decision to provide additional monetary support through rate cuts.
The Federal Reserve continues to navigate economic uncertainty while maintaining its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. Today's expected rate cut represents a continuation of the central bank's efforts to support the economy amid mixed economic signals and data limitations caused by the government shutdown.
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